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1 LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS P.l Rational Analysis P.2 Bollinger Bands, Deere & Co., 200 days 2.1 Line chart, Freddie Mac, 100 days 2.2 Bar chart, Freddie Mac, 100 days 2.3 Candlestick chart, Freddie Mac, 100 days 2.4 Bollinger Bars, Freddie Mac, 90 days 2.5 Point-and-figure chart, Freddie Mac, 120 days 2.6 Bar chart, linear scale, Freddie Mac, 200 days 2.7 Bar chart, log scaling, Freddie Mac, 200 days 2.8 Bar chart, volume, Freddie Mac, 100 days 2.9 Bar chart, volume and average, Freddie Mac, 100 days 2.10 Bar chart, normalized volume, Freddie Mac, 100 days 3.1 Moving average, correct 3.2 Moving average, too long 3.3 Moving average, too short 6.1 Twin-Line chart 6.2 Keltner Buy and Sell Lines 6.3 Keltner Channel, IBM, 150 days 6.4 Donchian Channel, IBM, 150 days 6.5 Valuation envelope, Electronic Data Systems 6.6 Valuation envelopes, hand drawn 6.7 Cycles used for drawing envelopes 6.8 Stock with percentage envelopes, Deere & Co., 200 days 6.9 Dow Jones Industrial Average with 21-day moving average and 4 percent bands 6.10 Bomar Bands, Instinet Research and Analytics 6.11 Implied risk indicator, Options Strategy Spectrum 6.12 Bollinger Bands, Deere & Co., 200 days 7.1 Bollinger Bands, 20-day simple moving average, Deere & Co., 150 days 7.2 Bollinger Bands, 20-day exponential moving average, Deere & Co., 150 days 7.3 Bollinger Bands, 20-day front-weighted moving average, Deere & Co., 150 days 7.4 Bollinger Bands, 50-day moving average and 20-day standard deviation, Deere & Co., 150 days 7.5 Multiple Bollinger Bands, equal periods, multiple widths, Deere & Co., 150 days 7.6 Multiple Bollinger Bands, different periods, normal widths, Deere & Co., 150 days 8.1 Bollinger Bands and %b, Nokia, 250 days 8.2 Bollinger Bands, %b, and 21-day Intraday Intensity, nonconfirmed low, Guilford Pharmaceuticals, 100 days
viii 8.3 Bollinger Bands and %b, W bottom, Sears, 100 days 8.4 Bollinger Bands and Bandwidth, The Squeeze, Clorox, 100 days 8.5 Bollinger Bands and Bandwidth, beginning of a trend, Standard Pacific, 200 days 8.6 Bollinger Bands and Bandwidth, end of a trend, Lennar, 200 days 8.7 Parallels pattern 8.8 Bubble pattern 9.1 The normal distribution 9.2 Kurtosis 9.3 Bond market volatility cycle, 30-year -bond yield, two years 10.1 Three pushes to a high, Pharmacia, 150 days 10.2 W bottom. Bear Sterns, 100 days 10.3 M within a W, Harley Davidson, 100 days 10.4 W bottom, Bollinger Bands, and volume confirmation, Art Technology Group, 100 days 10.5 W bottom, Bollinger Bands, volume indicator, and momentum indicator, Art Technology Group, 100 days 11.1 NASDAQ Composite, three years, no filter 11.2 NASDAQ Composite, three years, 5 percent filter 11.3 NASDAQ Composite, three years, 10 percent filter 11.4 NASDAQ Composite, three years, 20 percent filter 11.5 NASDAQ Composite, three years, 30 percent filter 11.6 NASDAQ Composite, three years, 40 percent filter 11.7 Wheelans point-and-figure chart 11.8 Modern point-and-f igure chart, IBM, one year 11.9 Curve fit for Cohens point-and-figure box-size rules 11.10 Arthur Merrills M patterns 11.11 Arthur Merrills W patterns List of Illustrations 12.1 The ideal W, drawing 12.2 W higher, New York Times A, 200 days 12.3 W equal, JCPenney, 200 days 1Z4 W lower, Starwood Hotels, 200 days 12.5 W bottom, Bollinger Bands, AT&T Wireless, 140 days 12.6 W bottom, lower Bollinger Bands broken on right side, Ashland, 150 days 12.7 W bottom, neither low breaks the bands, The Limited, 100 days 12.8 W bottom, buy the expansion day, Chevron, 150 days 12.9 Head and shoulders, W8 and W10, PNC, 300 days 13.1 Idealized head-and-shoulders top 13.2 Actual head-and-shoulders top, Vishay, 250 days 13.3 Head-and-shoulders top with Bollinger Bands, SI, 300 days 13.4 Three pushes to a high, Juniper, 200 days 13.5 Throwback entry into a sell, Integrated Device, 150 days 14.1 S&P 500 with Bollinger Bands, fall 1998/spring 1999 14.2 Walk up the band followed by an M top, Vishay, 350 days 14.3 Walk up the band with Intraday Intensity, open, Texas Instruments, 350 days 14.4 Walk up the band with Intraday Intensity, closed, Texas Instruments, 350 days 14.5 The average as support, Archer Daniels, 100 days 14.6 Basic Elliott wave pattern 15.1 Bollinger Bands and Bandwidth, IBM, 250 days 15.2 T-bond BandWidth, 250 days 15.3 The Squeeze and a breakout, PPL, 150 days 15.4 The Squeeze, a head fake, and a breakout, Adobe, 100 days
List of Illustrations 15.5 The reversal of an expansion, the end of a trend, American Financial Group, 100 days 16.1 Head fake, EOG Resources, 250 days 16.2 Method I example, AvalonBay Communities, 200 days 16.3 Method I example, Ocean Energy, 100 days 16.4 Method I example, Noble Drilling, 300 days 16.5 Method I example, Pinnacle Holdings, 100 days 16.6 Method I example, PPL Corp., 120 days 17.1 BB, MFI, and normalized volume, Healthcare Realty, 150 days 17.2 BB,AD%, and normalized volume, Pfizer, 120 days 17.3 BB, Intraday Intensity %, Ashland Oil, 150 days 17.4 BB, MFI, and AD%, Marsh & McLennan, 150 days 17.5 BB, 11%, and normalized volume, walk up the band, Sabre Holdings, 150 days 17.6 W2, relative W4, 11% confirms, Dow Chemical, 150 days 17.7 Analytical Template I, CVS, 150 days 17.8 Analytical Template II, AT&T, 150 days 18.1 Intraday Intensity, Hartford Insurance, 200 days 18.2 Accumulation Distribution, Hartford Insurance, 200 days 18.3 11% and AD%, Hartford Insurance, 200 days 18.4 Money Flow Index, Hartford Insurance, 200 days 18.5 Volume-Weighted MACD, Hartford Insurance, 200 days 19-1 Method II buy example, AG Edwards, 100 days 19.2 Method II sell example, Micron, 150 days 19.3 Method II as an alert, Perkin-Elmer, 200 days 20.1 DJIA with 4 percent bands and advance-decline oscillator 20.2 DJIA with Bollinger Bands and A-D MACD 20.3 W2 (W4) with Accumulation Distribution, Dow Chemical, 150 days 20.4 M16 (M12) with Accumulation Distribution, Lyondell, 150 days 21.1 Distribution chart, 10-day stochastic, IBM, two years 21.2 MFI with Bollinger Bands, Dupont, 150 days 21.3 %b(MFD, Dupont, 150 days 21.4 RSI with Bollinger Bands, Dupont, 150 days 21.5 %b(RSI), Dupont, 150 days 22.1 Short-term bar chart, bars too short, Guilford, 10-minute bars 22.2 Short-term bar chart, bars correct, Microsoft, 10-minute bars
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