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15

- AiJInndtx -1 Tlw-.

Asoolal <:.< (if Che niultlolc; tm<:a. t>r<r

a tryrllc- pa-rirm (ln< r>f t»>e will-lfnciwn usfs r>f cj-dit analysis was r>a-forme<l try . Iri 7?4L Ffe>ftt ruasic i>fStacti 1i-ansacti<m <Ircr«itc-HallJ, ii> which (here Is an

i in each <rycle and

subs.ui.utlnB. from «t*< tabli of s.ums. anxl l.irie tH.

repealed i-e]>ressl<i>n analvls <>v a mDiine cimr wlnrfow. resiiftine foi-ecasi value. An

Beoausi: is xiseil tr?- rcralrularr ihc- t>es« ill eac-li « a new j>irce of da(a

tor solurl n »i r»ecomo **ie Indumci-v scandard. Thiis leetinlque la oRen

predict tor eicampl u niy Rold prltres uti arrive at a Kold priee teretra-i

<:i-ist>*t and TI pi-tnce u an expoi---ilal sn.uoU.ins. le I. liqu wl.l ll

the most ptipular -ll*-*!n n 1-.

< day are « .

varlahle>



« -:" << "1- . "------

ti>iioriai><?o: Ix.-v tall cuisltlr Oif l-irinrltci», ilicy «- slsitfliam

lulclng correiDsram will ;*!>(-.,-.4 as in FiKiiri-

m in Flsii-i =i--!>r ~ . ;<= pcrfo ...

FIGLIRE 3-9 ARIMA correlograms. (a) Ideal correlogram results, showing significance in the first and seconds lags only, (b) Significance in the first and third lags, indicating that further trend elimination is necessan. tc) No significant correlations at any lag values.





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